What Happened in the Markets – May 2025 Market Review.
Global markets had a turbulent month in May as new trade tensions, policy shifts, and interest rate decisions influenced investor behaviour. At River Birch Newman, we believe financial education should be simple and accessible, so here’s a breakdown of the key events that mattered and what they could mean for your finances.
1. Tariffs Took Centre Stage (Again)
- U.S. President Donald Trump reignited global trade tensions with aggressive new tariffs:
- A blanket 10% tariff and up to 145% on Chinese goods shocked markets early in the month.
- Things eased slightly mid-May when the U.S. and China agreed on a 90-day pause, reducing tariffs to 30% and 10% respectively.
- But then a surprise 50% tariff on EU imports triggered another wave of market anxiety.
- Markets swung dramatically in response. U.S. tech markets (like the Nasdaq) jumped after the China deal, but later fell when the EU tariffs were announced. Uncertainty remains high, which is why many investors are turning toward safer options like bonds.
2. China’s Response: New Trade Strategies
- China didn’t just react—it got strategic. To protect its economy:
- Some exporters reportedly lowered invoice values to reduce tariffs.
- China also boosted international relationships, especially across Asia, Latin America and Europe.
- But it criticised the UK-U.S. trade deal, which could hurt Chinese access to British markets.
- This highlights a key takeaway: don’t rely on one country or region. A globally diversified investment approach helps reduce risk from sudden shocks.
3. Interest Rates in the UK
- The Bank of England cut interest rates from 4.5% to 4.25%, trying to balance slow economic growth at home with global instability abroad.
- Although some policymakers wanted deeper cuts, most agreed to keep things cautious. As a result:
- Investors think the BoE will move more slowly on future cuts.
- The pound rose in value, making UK investments more attractive globally.
Why This Matters
We know financial news can often feel out of reach or unnecessarily complex. At River Birch Newman, we believe everyone deserves to understand how global events could influence their financial plans—regardless of how much they have to invest.
This review helps unpack what’s been going on in the markets in plain English, so you can feel more informed and in control. Whether you’re saving for retirement, investing for the future, or simply keeping an eye on your finances, staying informed is a crucial part of your journey.